Here’s what is currently known about the prevalence of HSP overall, SPG4 subtype, and the de novo p.Arg499His (R499H) mutation in SPAST:
1. Hereditary Spastic Paraplegia (HSP) – All Types
Global prevalence is estimated between 2 to 6 cases per 100,000 people, though some studies report up to ~9.6/100,000 depending on region and methodology .
A pooled meta‐analysis estimated global prevalence at 3.6/100,000 (95% CI: ~2.0–5.3) .
In the United States, HSP is classified as a rare disease (fewer than 200,000 affected individuals), which corresponds to a prevalence around less than 0.06% (~6/100,000) .
2. SPG4 (HSP Type 4, caused by SPAST mutations)
Globally, SPG4 is the most common subtype. The same BMC model estimates its prevalence at ~0.90 per 100,000 population .
SPG4 accounts for approximately 40–50% of dominant HSP cases, and roughly 25% of all HSP cases overall .
The U.S.–specific model estimate: ~3,365 symptomatic SPG4 patients in the U.S.
Other sources cite worldwide SPG4 prevalence between 2–6 per 100,000, but that likely reflects overall HSP spectrum; subtype‐specific prevalence from modeling is ~0.9/100,000 .
3. De novo p.Arg499His (R499H) variant in SPAST
This is an ultra‑rare, early‑onset de novo form of SPG4, associated with rapid progression in childhood.
As of current knowledge, only ~22 individuals worldwide have been identified with this variant, based on patient registries .
That corresponds to an extremely low prevalence (~22 cases globally; incidence unknown due to spontaneous mutation pattern).
No reliable U.S. or global prevalence/incidence data exist beyond these case counts—in numerical terms, prevalence <0.000005% (~1 in 20 million).
📋 Summary Table
| Condition | Global Prevalence | U.S. Estimate |
| All HSP (all types) | 2–6 per 100,000 (∼3.6/100,000) | < 200,000 people (≤6/100,000) |
| SPG4 subtype | ~0.90 per 100,000 | ~3,365 SPG4 symptomatic individuals |
| De novo p.Arg499His (R499H) SPAST | ~22 cases total worldwide (<1/100M) | Extremely rare; essentially anecdotal |
✅ Final Take‑aways
HSP (all subtypes) affects roughly 3–4 people per 100,000 globally; in the U.S., likely under 200,000 total.
SPG4 (most common HSP subtype) prevalence: ~0.9/100,000 globally, translating to a few thousand U.S. cases.
De novo R499H SPAST variant: exceedingly rare (< 25 known cases worldwide), representing a tiny fraction of SPG4.
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